The helicopters were busy in our neck of the woods this week. FIRE and FLOODS
They rescued wrecked cars from the beach. The cars were dead, but people could have died too because the warnings came too late to get people out of the flood area .
The rescuers and the people were not given enough close and specific information about the impending danger.
The rescuers and the people were not given enough close and specific information about the impending danger.
We have known for 30 years that the return period for such events in rivers in the eastern Otways is less than 20 years. Any geomorphologist, or wise child, might even note the huge power that moves the obvious boulders which form the base of these streams. Proper integrated planning of soils, water and geomorphic processes confirmed the risk well over 30 years ago. Read the reports listed below.
As long ago as 1983 it was known by those of us who studied and planned water structures in the Region that south easterlies, which predictably blow for days can be expected to generate large dumps of rain on the eastern end of the Otways because of the process of orographic up lift of those high humidity clouds. The process by which these unusual events happen go beyond the simple evaluation that only focuses on the amount of rain clouds can release in various climatic conditions ( the oft mentioned 120 mm ) and what has happened in rainfall recorders (of which there are only a few ) ,
As described in the links below, there is no excuse for the emergency authorities to not know and understand this process and be expecting floods when the easterlies were blowing consistently for many long hours before the midday events in Lorne.
Understanding where we are.
The reason the emergency authorities are not anticipating danger is often a result of a disease they inherit from those who have tried to run the government and the environment remotely for decades. Let me call this a version of a disease you may be familiar with;
Helicopter parenting
Where parents avoid confrontation with the real risks of earth.
The participants ( child and parent ) learn nothing but to panic and spend money in anticipation of unknown risks they would know if they properly engaged with the earth.
Helicopter parenting of the Environment This modern phenomenon is much , much worse than the above because it really doesn't know the risks and how the various components of the ecosystem soil water and climate work together.
When nature strikes in the backyard of remote managers , they would be better to hide in a cupboard. The wolf is real but you must understand the wolf to be safe from the wolf.
.
to be continued .
Helicopter parenting of the Environment This modern phenomenon is much , much worse than the above because it really doesn't know the risks and how the various components of the ecosystem soil water and climate work together.
When nature strikes in the backyard of remote managers , they would be better to hide in a cupboard. The wolf is real but you must understand the wolf to be safe from the wolf.
.
to be continued .
https://swearthnews.blogspot.com/2022/01/easterlies-have-major-role-in-shaping.html
https://designwithnature.blogspot.com/2013/01/the-biggest-threat-ever.html
No comments:
Post a Comment