tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35550373255469433142024-03-05T06:10:17.509-08:00The WolfGetting to know the Enemyjourneymanjhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11679612023619721683noreply@blogger.comBlogger87125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-33685274888788094942023-07-01T06:37:00.005-07:002023-07-01T16:52:02.508-07:00More quickfix madness from those who are desperately failing to use our money well .<p><span style="background-color: black;"> <span face=""Segoe UI Historic", "Segoe UI", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="color: #e4e6eb; font-size: 15px;"> Rob Sitch is at pains IN UTOPIA ABC to remind the twits in charge of our Building Australia that they are so cringeworthy they think consultants will provide answers to complex planning issues.<br /><br />The public service used to exist to provide capable dependable reliable advice ( that is judging the consultants not the other way around ) for all the people . Now its a free for all ; nimbys , foxes in charge of chicken coupes and long waits to delight those who now get a free feed form the public purse because they know more abou the passing prey than our innocent of evil polys . <br /><br /></span></span></p><p><span face=""Segoe UI Historic", "Segoe UI", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="color: #e4e6eb; font-size: 15px;"><span style="background-color: black;">See the mess and evil that Wyatt and Western Australia are creating by trying to control producers using consultants- people whose qualifications to control must always be able to be questioned by the public justice system. , <br /><br />this time around its aboriginal heritage areas " Well trained inhouse agents in regional area would not only be a lot cheaper but have the big advantage of being credible and decisive without all the reams of paperwork . </span><br /></span><br /><b>How did we become victims of the new wolves of minority interests ? </b></p><div dir="auto" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "Segoe UI Historic", "Segoe UI", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px;">" The threat to sound decision making from unstable coalitions involving ignorant and inexperienced lobbyists is now a worldwide concern in the West .</div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "Segoe UI Historic", "Segoe UI", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px;">Prominent British intellectual AC Grayling describes very well in two recent books ( "Democracy in Crisis" and "The Good State ") how many Western Governments are making quick fix decisions that don't work. He makes the point by just describing : "The Brexit / Boris mistake" (driven sadly by a referendum that went wrong ) and the unstable Trump/ Democrats means of not making decisions that finally make sense to the people.</div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "Segoe UI Historic", "Segoe UI", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px;">Most of my clients in the bush have given up on the ruling parties years ago . We need our young , less worn out people to represent them and sound science in practice as they have already done with showing the way in egg and Australian produce marketing choices .- broadening the economics/ ecological principles debate. Thankfully not all our young people take the simple Marxist line . See UTOPIA ABC this week .</div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "Segoe UI Historic", "Segoe UI", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px;">Most farmers and producers of this country usually don't have the energy for email and the internet; they too are without a VOICE .@<a class="x1i10hfl xjbqb8w x6umtig x1b1mbwd xaqea5y xav7gou x9f619 x1ypdohk xt0psk2 xe8uvvx xdj266r x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r xexx8yu x4uap5 x18d9i69 xkhd6sd x16tdsg8 x1hl2dhg xggy1nq x1a2a7pz xt0b8zv xzsf02u x1s688f" href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/representingswvictoria/?__cft__[0]=AZXI3M4VtrDzjzDaxXsaFG7YNtUq8dTkThoWQfrcjn3p0KVemlC0xi3a0R-7Fz_EdbdIg2synl97P-ZVeAD2PtZACJYBSdr_Rk1fLsLAC98YwMKlkrcrFWOSKy391NZTqRt2F08my6O3Ss5iovhsC32OOaMPBM0JWFMl5zR590lWJlpl36fOtFBt7aoeoCjq8pE&__tn__=R]-R" role="link" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; background-color: transparent; border-color: initial; border-style: initial; border-width: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; display: inline; font-family: inherit; font-weight: 600; list-style: none; margin: 0px; outline: none; padding: 0px; text-align: inherit; text-decoration-line: none; touch-action: manipulation;" tabindex="0"><span class="xt0psk2" style="display: inline; font-family: inherit;">Representing South West Victoria</span></a></div>journeymanjhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11679612023619721683noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-44289239881698707502022-05-12T14:13:00.002-07:002022-05-12T14:13:57.297-07:00Evil lurks within and without and giving dominion to one leader in our Country is not easy <p> It has to be said that going Independant is a bit of a fad and there is every chance ( we should all be intelligent gamblers or cynics or both?) that most of the current crop are ,if not me generation" my way of the highway" types,</p><p>will turn out to be ONE HIT WONDERS.Are they real team players or snake oil salemen ?</p>This foray may not be all good for Australia because desperation breeds http://quickfiz.blogspot.com and we need polys with staying power.<br /><br />Independent candidates often appeal to people because they offer " the new " and seem progressive. not burdened by " the past" and the staid old stuff. Fair enough-- that's me and most rural people everywhere .<br /><br />While I will still make the difficult decision to support conservatives and team players, a good friend <span class="bnpdmtie diy96o5h" spellcheck="false">Augusto Zimmermann</span> has just released a book on Scomo pointing out that he and many others in Parliament are living on the unsustainable whiff of appearing strong ( when we are surrounded by weakness woosy and soft -- the puppets in charge of parties for eg)<br />Think of ALL THE PREMIERS who wouldn't be in power if they weren't focused on pretending to be TOUGH ( say on lung infections ) - who now insist on mandating what makes no sense.<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4IVDcRTXEMZ6osZU86MorQgHccPVrvtT0QIMBAZuRbdYGehVvrHhTw4wRDn38rizIQbXPYozGCbTl48IqMfOgFyM-Bh6WUSMGUW72moZh4-pcnzwaq4Reu6uROq1wWuahnLd67vxR2rYWZZRXv3M9RHMPnxxaZIR0Mox9R_6RL5LdtYSicLLypOD5/s450/site_1_rand_1552873857_electoral_map_100719_b_aec.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="338" data-original-width="450" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4IVDcRTXEMZ6osZU86MorQgHccPVrvtT0QIMBAZuRbdYGehVvrHhTw4wRDn38rizIQbXPYozGCbTl48IqMfOgFyM-Bh6WUSMGUW72moZh4-pcnzwaq4Reu6uROq1wWuahnLd67vxR2rYWZZRXv3M9RHMPnxxaZIR0Mox9R_6RL5LdtYSicLLypOD5/s320/site_1_rand_1552873857_electoral_map_100719_b_aec.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /><b><br /><br />My point </b>-- don't end up with puppets in charge because those who act strong and tough but aren't, will fall .The independent can be the tyrant who hasn't got the team spirit. Aim for long term gain by rejecting the short term gain spinners everytime <br /><br />The country needs the objectivity of its most productive and competitive <div><br /></div>Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-78319270288136472082022-03-10T02:11:00.006-08:002022-03-10T02:31:31.215-08:00Careless Noise makers can get people to get killed . Ditch them <p><br /></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><b>
The rain along the east coast is not unusual, but the runoff is. </b><br />Because rain is part of climate , ignorant climate activists open their big mouths and misdirect resources concern and cynicism .</span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEi31AclI2lARS6smf9uRMmar-gewJYgQk3GxMiXjjRLL5Dnt3PcIwnCj5JtL2RdOAu1of0krbizj28EuA6drs7wkL6P__5C-lCfpV8-QdDC8y8bdwsFkn_q-PbwWLxbpmezPQxxQT5-RxwZQpm3Esb132KrPHU7Uu7Ahb5viUGK4BtSfgjtjETsDFRj=s2725" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1971" data-original-width="2725" height="231" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEi31AclI2lARS6smf9uRMmar-gewJYgQk3GxMiXjjRLL5Dnt3PcIwnCj5JtL2RdOAu1of0krbizj28EuA6drs7wkL6P__5C-lCfpV8-QdDC8y8bdwsFkn_q-PbwWLxbpmezPQxxQT5-RxwZQpm3Esb132KrPHU7Uu7Ahb5viUGK4BtSfgjtjETsDFRj=s320" width="320" /></a></span></div><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><br /> <br />
<br />
In investigating the huge damage to houses in the Barwon river floodplain
in November 1995 , I was surprised to learn that neither the Engineers
Australia guidelines for runoff estimates or the Met Bureau records
were of any use in really understanding the ongoing very high risk of bigger
than expected floods from some mountain areas , especially when moist
easterlies were operating .<br />
To put it simply, the modelling is not dynamic enough to pick upon the
many site specific factors ( like orography ,soil erosion and
bedload ) that cause these unusually large amounts of water and
silt rising out of channels .</span> .<p></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt;"><span lang="EN-US">
The failure of planning authorities to anticipate a very high level of
risk is evident in the sloppy way these floods are reported and NOT anticipated
when moist easterlies are active . (ongoing exposure near the Brisbane river
locals as a result of constant rain near Toowoomba.<br />ttp://designwithnature.blogspot.com/2013/01/the-biggest-threat-ever.html</span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt;"><span lang="EN-US">
<br />
The best way to picture the risk is to remember the limited ability of most
clouds to produce more than an inch or two of water and the cooling
effect required to get even that amount . What happens in these
rare but quite predictable occasions is that the rising hills provide the
orographic cooling effect required to et a train of clouds to give
up their moisture on one locality for many hours on end.<br />2 inch per hour in one spot becomes 20 inches in one spot and no soil can take it as we can see ( if we have eyes to see ) in the water .We can even see a bit about "whose soil where" by the color </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt;"><span lang="EN-US">. <br />
<br />
<br />
If we allow ignorant wannabes to continue to blame everything on climate
change, there will be deaths and destruction because of them because they
redirect support away from the real consequences of real environmental
risks we should be facing . <br />
<br /><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><o:p></o:p></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;">
The failure of planning authorities to anticipate a very high level of
risk is evident in the sloppy way these floods are reported and NOT anticipated
when moist easterlies are active . (ongoing exposure near the Brisbane river
locals as a result of constant rain near Toowoomba.)<br />
<br />
The best way to picture the risk is to remember the limited ability of most
clouds to produce more than an inch or two of water and the cooling
effect required to get even that amount . What happens in these
rare but quite predictable occasions is that the rising hills provide the
orographic cooling effect required to et a train of clouds to give
up their moisture on one locality for many hours on end. <br />
<br />
<br />
If we allow ignorant wannabes to continue to blame everything on climate
change, there will be deaths and destruction because of them because they
redirect support away from the real consequences of real environmental
risks we should be facing . </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<!--[endif]--></span><span style="mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>journeymanjhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11679612023619721683noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-22127725743790576722021-09-05T19:23:00.001-07:002021-09-05T19:23:13.434-07:00Panic merchants and witchdoctors <p> The proper protective alliance between sound science and practice is increasingly under threat from ignorant and arrogant wannabe panic merchants (desperate media and polys ) who insist on being the first to announce their new potions to fix our diseases ( or the mere symptoms ) </p><p>For the record , I do not support this narrow and false ambition of great long lists and going for broke in everything. Zero targets deny ecological reality, take all the will out of doing anything and it’s simply not how the wonderful world we live in works. </p><p>Sure, life is harsh and cruel in places, but it's more resilient than the panic merchants and their tribes of witchdoctors now insist. </p><p>Remote worry warriors, who meet together on tops of hills, like they do in East Melbourne, to name the evil agents and again set our agendas for the week, is what is really wrong with this country. <br />Science, to actually work for our good , must have its feet firmly on the ground. Otherwise we end up chasing snowballs in a blizzard, hot air scares and windmill poking. </p><p>I say again, that we here in Colac Otway Region need to take the lead as we have done before, and support only our very best scientists and practical people to achieve changes that can be modelled elsewhere. You can find a list of just how clever our part of the country can be by looking up my short list on the internet . </p><p>http://swearthnews.blogspot.com </p><div><br /></div>Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-6926460798498833312020-08-30T06:34:00.005-07:002020-09-02T06:32:08.434-07:00No mention of the fear doesn't mean the risk is gone away <p>The risk and the reason for it is <a href="http://misplacedconcreteness.blogspot.com">badly stated </a> <br /><br />If the fear has been around awhile, you can be sure the people will put pressure on to stop EVERYBODY talking about it . When PC is the ruling philosophy, nobody is safe. <a href="http://thinkhebrew.blogspot.com">The truth will set us free, </a>but the price for those who sit too comfortably away from it , is . in their opinion. too high <br /><br />No leader can stop this imperfect process of making ,gaining and then losing fear and trust . The leaders who play up to it should leave . ( take Vic and NSW playing up to overlast seasons bushfires) <br />It will be hastened in Andrews case by the child and then the public realisation that his chasing of substance through his own stats collection is misplaced concreteness. <br />Not even a good epidemiologist should trust the leader to know what it is doing ( when it presumes to on risk questions) A wise lieutenant would insist in help to avoid a corrupting and cloned consensus that the dilittants in charge can often seek from the real experts and ones who know stuff . . <br /><br /><b>So what will precipitate the loss of panic .who knows? It may not be all good </b><br /> One good reason for reducing the panic will be the realization .that much advice was not taken in the first place about the risk and how to deal with it ( that includes PM Morrison) <br /><b>The inevitability of push back </b>( when the risk is badly stated - shortstated ) must come when those in charge don't know what they are doing and have explained nothing to date ( except driven home the same old fear tactics -- see the list of stats listed elsewhere )<br /><br />People smell a rat when leaders in crisis are NOT prepared to admit they don't know what they are doing . <br /><b>Attention seeking is not just what children do</b> ( the person in the story ) its what some leaders are actually good at .Such a leadership style may gain momentum , but has no sustainability . </p><p><br />As the Spanish flu epidemic showed , once people stop talking about a fear, Fear doesn't go awa, y i<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdYfptBsnWmdTAYC0wYaE3cJOLG0RR0vEdv3x3Tmnl55wRMounoCzUckVyVKXJ7pKusTmAR5FI7EzCsjsSIO_P2xkmNU7GygoLWZRArkFH7l9j8HXgLFS58qQ3JgOBukQtUGOHACDEew4/s1501/proverbs1114z.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="586" data-original-width="1501" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdYfptBsnWmdTAYC0wYaE3cJOLG0RR0vEdv3x3Tmnl55wRMounoCzUckVyVKXJ7pKusTmAR5FI7EzCsjsSIO_P2xkmNU7GygoLWZRArkFH7l9j8HXgLFS58qQ3JgOBukQtUGOHACDEew4/s640/proverbs1114z.jpg" width="640" /></a>t just becomes PC not to mention it , </p><p> So, just as the fear words were used to effect to START the panic , the absence of fear words will be used to end the fear. Its all to do with using a <a href="http://meredescriotion ,blogspot.com">meredescription.<br />blogspot.com</a> PC name , <br /><br />TODAYS DEVELOPMENTS <br />August 30th 2020 Quote <br /></p><p><i>Why does every one think case numbers mean something? </i></p><p><i>Presumably when COVID is no longer news ,, it won't be the subject of worry, </i></p><p><i>Does this preoccupation with simple stats stuff mean it's gone away when numbers go down ? </i></p><p><i>Do polys think we are stupid--- that they explain nothing and keep using their own versions </i></p><p><i>or the fear of death facts as their primary message ? </i></p><p><br /><br /></p><div data-block="true" data-editor="o69m" data-offset-key="3j982-0-0" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "segoe ui historic", "segoe ui", helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="3j982-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: inherit; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="3j982-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Andrews doesn't tell us "deaths with" and "death by COVID: , test/case ratios ( until last week ) or ' immune response triggered " facts such as localities under heavy testing. It could be expected that the current agglutination testing is inadequate to show "exposure" because a lot of resistance is needed to build up antigens ?'</span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="o69m" data-offset-key="bjqnu-0-0" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "segoe ui historic", "segoe ui", helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="bjqnu-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: inherit; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="bjqnu-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Unless more info on the above and the perceived herd immunity level is known, Morrison is mad to accept the attention seeking Premiers equally non compos mentis unproven significance of shallow catchprases like "hotspots " and " waves" . </span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="o69m" data-offset-key="7qian-0-0" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "segoe ui historic", "segoe ui", helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="7qian-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: inherit; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="7qian-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Does anyone know </span><span data-offset-key="7qian-2-0" style="font-family: inherit;">what the new catch phrase "active " means ? (infectious , adapting , overcoming or what?)
Forget chasing a vaccine dillitantants - At what point do they hope to identify the evil bug,,,,,, not its aftermarth , Spring street are trying to lock the door after the horse has bolted.</span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="o69m" data-offset-key="85q3s-0-0" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "segoe ui historic", "segoe ui", helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="85q3s-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: inherit; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="85q3s-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;"> Why is the CMO not speculating on the level of herd immunity,,,, now present?</span></div></div><div data-block="true" data-editor="o69m" data-offset-key="egf56-0-0" style="background-color: #3a3b3c; color: #e4e6eb; font-family: "segoe ui historic", "segoe ui", helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="egf56-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: inherit; position: relative;"><span data-offset-key="egf56-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Maybe all the testing, tracing and "no talk" about the above means our leaders are no wiser from all their brilliant investigation techniques ? </span></div></div>Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-63668149952975930012020-05-25T16:50:00.002-07:002020-05-25T17:50:52.929-07:00No news is good news <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpP-44MFSVIbpkYCv4s6A31jrcSvYs1hC4GYKND6hm1qrJYdy4pbiOJjnzdQcmqgJUzbwQBRe6qtMJBm0NTE3xtsN90MyFqxIlYi3Ovri3a3J2pxolq4Cdnh3DijcEhXQp1xehq84hTow/s1600/fireplace.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1094" data-original-width="1600" height="218" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpP-44MFSVIbpkYCv4s6A31jrcSvYs1hC4GYKND6hm1qrJYdy4pbiOJjnzdQcmqgJUzbwQBRe6qtMJBm0NTE3xtsN90MyFqxIlYi3Ovri3a3J2pxolq4Cdnh3DijcEhXQp1xehq84hTow/s320/fireplace.jpg" width="320" /></a>One thing that works for the mental health of our household in this COVID crisis is to switch off TV completely over news time.<br />
<br />
It will take the wannabe herds and the polys some time to realize that many of us are doing this for our own mental health.<br />
<br />
The wannabes are clamouring, as usual, for our attention . What these<a href="http://fanaticism1.blogspot.com/"> fanatics</a> fail to realise is that they know little more than we do ( and therefore should just billboard the CMO) <br />
<br />
BUT worse<br />
- they push their speculation(/leading to more lies half truths , fake news ,laws and less guidelines ) all over us day after day. its what <a href="https://www.blogger.com/"><span id="goog_429624860"></span>fanatics <span id="goog_429624861"></span></a>do<br />
<br />
The nonsense in the news media goes to prove several things<br />
1. Trump was right about at least one thing - The waste from Fake news in OUR lives<br />
2. The people are predictably more compliant when <a href="http://fearmongers.blogspot.com/"> fear is the driver</a> and fear is not addressed with fact ( the extent of the infection agents in each country)<br />
3. Economy of information.and instruction is critical I know as a risk managemnet planner -- <i><b>"you don't say too much and only what is necessary" _</b></i>http://ecomia.blogspot.com<br />
<br />
4, Comfort the people with things they should know- and act upon ( <b>Switch the TV off</b> )<br />
a That the wannabes and media are desperate to prove their diminishing power over us ( esp with the net available )<br />
b So many stupid and wayward things have been said in this period that its unbelievable .( <b>Switch the TV off )<br /> </b>c As always in history ITS those who claim to be doing things in the name of best intention that are the most dangerous , <br />
d Watch Wannabes closely -Especially those leaders who rush into solutions their minds have invented and whose real actions<b>the integrated patient professional practice of checking what actions in a crisis are really neccesary </b>( by the CMO) . <br />
e Teaching people who don't normally listen well ( all of us ??) to listen well can mean the t great leader ( just a man who know s something -- the child in the story?) occasionally YELLING and also calling for silence too - <br />
<br />
No one normally on the end of a microphone seems to get that, at the moment.<br />
<br />
I wonder if God has intervened in history?<br />
( Romans 13 - <a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/watchthisthisweek">my lecture topic</a> )<br />
<br />Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-65544378866166073332020-03-22T05:03:00.002-07:002020-03-22T19:25:06.349-07:00On the correct use of the precautionary principle <div style="text-align: center;">
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There is something new under the sun </div>
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The meddling management culture .</div>
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<b>The proper use of the precautionary principle ( which the aforementioned grab from the workers tool bag as if they know how to use it) means </b></blockquote>
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<b>WE the public have to </b></blockquote>
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<b>STOP management culture operatives from trying to apply the tool they can be expected to be incompetent in using </b></blockquote>
SUMMARY<br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq" style="text-align: center;">
<u>The ONLY people who should be allowed to pronounce actions ( moment by moment as risk wanes and changes) are those professionals who study and take advice on the risks. let me call that person the CMO Chief Message Officer </u>.</blockquote>
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Everyone below him will have an opinion, but those below job is not to spread the virus of half baked , but make sure the top of the line knows about all probabilities so he/she can weigh them up . .</blockquote>
<b>By way of introduction</b> We risk assessors have seen it all before in risks of all kinds - no need to panic .<br />
<b><br />1. TIME related talks </b><br />
Because risk is a time related function we the public must save time; use it well and differently -and expect some relief from the stress with time . if "stages" are mentioned that can help us manage the time .<br />
<ol>
<li>Save the CMO time means that the CMO person can be clear and confident to an audience who in their impatience have to WAIT respectfully and quietly for word from the top .</li>
<li><b>2. Of short duration</b> Confusion in audience is avoided bu being clear and concise - even if advice is not complete or perfect advice </li>
<li>The people ho wait can expect to be told how long? . People can, if they are patient, then can expect to have the CMO lower the time of stress .the CMO if he is wise will set a high outside limit for waits so he has room to reduce them.</li>
<li>The audience can expect that if the CMO states a time of crisis it can be expected that the time of waiting will be reduced with time . While such advice does not solve all the audiences challenges, it is GOOD and sound advice ; it shares the risk and uncertainty with people to decide on their own circumstances. its consistent advice . </li>
</ol>
For example the passage of a disease or a rainfall event while originally set over a long period "can be expected" ( this is how we talk probability ) can be set for a shorter period over the real risk period . While the waiting annoys a generation now used to instant gratification, they should be counseled in five matters<br />
<ol>
<li>There will be a waiting period which will end . Be patient , the real risk will decrease with time . </li>
<li>It is to be expected that the longer the real threat lasts, the less the waiting time till a resolution. However bad the results are ( we are not god is the CMO's job - quite a contrast to some wannabes ideas . </li>
<li><b>Appropriate Risk words and ideas</b> need to be learnt and used well by all exposed - a lot of these ideas are new to some . eg disease contracted does not mean death . most people will eventually be exposed internally ( via lungs most likely) <br />Appropriate risk ideas with a virus<br />CLEAR CONSISTENT"some must self isolate and all must social distance "CMO words " <br /><br />TESTING <br />Do not ask for tests .Testing won't always be cost effective for control because ts expensive and not direct ;symptoms may not show progress of disease<br />CASES can be misleading - the virus can be expected to be in most people with time via the lungs.<br />POSTPONE you can expect the risk with time . listen for estimates and revised estimates of that time </li>
<li style="text-align: center;">Wannabes will write their own scripts - do not listen to them; they maybe conscious or unconscious fear mongers . Wannabes love to fill the gap of the unknown with information . </li>
<li>Real protection comes if you only listen to the CMO - you personally are not familiar with the risk because they are new ( like a risk manage is ) let that experience work for you by listening only for him,. </li>
</ol>
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<i>See also the god assumption on modern western culture and the fear and denial of death .What this means in practice is that as the West has rejected its trust in God , our leaders expect to play God resulting in unreal expectations of not only heaven on earth but eternal life here ( denial of the place of death in life and nature),</i> <br />
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This post is based on my experience in risk assessment and should not be used as a reason to ignore the current risks from coronavirus. We are IMO all obliged to take the Chief Medical Officers advice and only that . This has been , and always will be, the best advice for the public .<br />
<b><br />Let the expert be the ONLY person who uses the precautionary principle </b>. <br />
Wannabes .managers and polys must refrain from speculation at times of real risk, less they heighten the panic (and reduce the collection of sound cost benefit advice ) . .<br />
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I feel obliged to write this short note because the truths of abuse are well known <br />
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and important for any future risk discussion so that , we the people, understand and limit unnecessary and ineffective panic actions by public authority figures . Time to button one's lip and listen .<br />
<b><br />The uncomfortable truth is that politicians and wannabes are prone to misusing the precautionary principle </b>simply because its not their money they are spending and because they now see their job as preventing risk to individuals , when no one can really do that properly <br />
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<b>Properly doing risk assessment means properly doing costing of options and the tough scientific connections </b>. <br />
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There is then. in the post modern world , a bit of the god assumption hidden in the predictable action to just keep spending by the modern management class , <br />
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<i>This is seen in the focus on pretending deaths( which we can do )but not very easily and not without the cost benefit that an advised CMO will take.It also seen in the public confusion about what having the virus in your body means ( it does not mean death and it can be expected that most people will be exposed to it at some point in the near future and develop some immunity to it .</i><br />
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Real world risk assessors know that all risk management is a cost benefit exercise .Many postmodern managers do not know this - this is partly because the only people who understand risk are professional observers and they have a fixed processes that they will follow .<br />
All I wanted to do today ( 22nd March 2020) is note what has to be a lot of overreaction at many levels .<br />
Let me just state it simply<br />
<b>Real world Risk assessors do use the precautionary principle but they don't use it in isolation from a closer look at the range of real risks - which is what mono cultural managers of issues do.</b><br />
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<i><b>Why mention the adverse effect of management culture ?</b><br />S</i>imply because it can be and often is a costly adverse<br />
and ineffective action. They should not for example be allowed to exaggerate the risk of death ( the avoidance factor )or maintain ignorant confusion but get the CMO to make that matter clear .<br />
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<span style="background-color: #e06666;">Summary LISTEN and know who to listen to. </span></div>
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<span style="background-color: #e06666;">Most management class people side on the side of caution when they don't really know enough to say anything . In the internet age, everyone has an opinion so as a combined group they can ensure the majority rule. this is NOT GOOD because the majority do not KNOW enough to really KNOW .</span></div>
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</span><br />
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<b style="background-color: #e06666;">Its the CMO's job too to listen and advise alone on that basis . </b></div>
<br />Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-83997112183329019342020-03-16T17:26:00.001-07:002020-03-18T00:37:37.972-07:00On recurring bouts of panic <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmhE9er6XdTgGrOKc5SZtw7mWHSp2twcKmX-Kd30wkjcZyNsPUH_BcWRiG6S9MIE13BIPl8icNNqzRDQZU51DnSWvKnNI7Bc2c9NTSJ3QmT99TR1Q6mHXCcWcRmA71U1S0xJ58QS2oqdw/s1600/hammers.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1600" data-original-width="1193" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmhE9er6XdTgGrOKc5SZtw7mWHSp2twcKmX-Kd30wkjcZyNsPUH_BcWRiG6S9MIE13BIPl8icNNqzRDQZU51DnSWvKnNI7Bc2c9NTSJ3QmT99TR1Q6mHXCcWcRmA71U1S0xJ58QS2oqdw/s320/hammers.jpg" width="238" /></a>Its 17th March 2020 here in Victoria Australia . Supermarket shelves everywhere in every town are being stripped bare. Last week it was just toilet paper oats and rice you couldn't get but this week you will struggle to get meat and frozen goods . The shelves are bare with people every where . The accepted practice of self isolation by choice has become mandatory with large events being cancelled like the place is going into lock down . groups of over 500 were banned. today groups of over 100 are banned . The threat is a new version of a coronavirus<br />
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I am not a panic merchant and hopefully weigh up risk well in my areas of ecosystem stress. With the current threat from a new virus I expect the time for self isolation will soon pass - as most people become exposed to it personally .This does not mean there is not irrational level of panic about ( see below)<br />
My advice is that but we all must take the best medical advice even if we have our doubts ( as they do ) about whether we can prevent deaths from it easily. and by intervention and change of normal habits . <br />
As with all risk ,we should not invent , as the potential non objective threatened participants, our own concerns ( eg need to test ourselves with expensive agents ) . We do not need to , as usual avoid taking up the time management need to keep discussing and consulting for possible practical and achievable choice constraints. Those delegated to provide authority on these matters.( observers)need time and respect.<br /> Risk as the former posts speak, requires rapid but timely site and time specific consideration and audience panic will not help governments do that in the limited time available .What size hammer isn't always the issue if we think <a href="http://quickfiz%2Cblogspot.com/">hammers</a> ? we can do more damage than good . Its not only technique and changing daily technique but the likely Cost benefit of EACH vaguely relevant action.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxzU-BZtYdB80IWH3UYgbXoK6FYPU7mwB1sgUu_9gKLwmNZAvt6D9dpv_YdSljYGuimhyphenhyphenrtWKZRU8oJEy6dZ1-x3_f3uX4UM9vFithwcjNRYuF_L7ksZN0-s-D1nsiTPf6yEfHmijziME/s1600/spanners.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1600" data-original-width="1200" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxzU-BZtYdB80IWH3UYgbXoK6FYPU7mwB1sgUu_9gKLwmNZAvt6D9dpv_YdSljYGuimhyphenhyphenrtWKZRU8oJEy6dZ1-x3_f3uX4UM9vFithwcjNRYuF_L7ksZN0-s-D1nsiTPf6yEfHmijziME/s320/spanners.jpg" width="240" /></a><br />
BACKGROUND "No time for panic" A paper<br />
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I have been preparing since before Christmas Nov 2019 a paper for a science conference ( ISCAST.org ) on the subject of why people are in such a panic about environmental risk issues .<br />The subject of the paper is on unreasonable food ,fire and water worries.<br />
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The positive thing is if the right people use the right tools we can avoid the sustainability that has so plagued our past .<br />
The late entry of the coronavirus in autumn 2020 came as a complete surprise because my issues are water soil food and fire worries . see the brief here .<br />
While I did a top microbiology course at Uni and have studied soil ever since i don't feel qualified to predict the outcome of complex disease questions best left to others. <br />
However as an competent environmental risk assessor as well, its clear that the some reactions are more in panic than in substance. The right hammer in the right place should be left to those who <a href="http://cuttingedgecare.blogspot.com/">listen closely to show themselves approve</a>d .<br />
We know progress and seriousness of the disease can be expected to be clearer in a few months time when it has spread more widely around the world, The Prime Minster has, it seems, as we all should , taken the Chief Medical Officers advice ( as as he take advice) and set the cautionary period of six months .( at the outside ?) While there is clearly lots more panic than is justified , sound risk management means we wait on the best medical advice . It will not surprise me if the widespread presence of the disease amongst humans in a few months time means that like will go back to normal .Will that knowledge at least , we can postpone some events.<br />
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I hope that we do not go back to the unconvincing idea of sterilizing all substrates (like our hands ) <br />
There is still a lot of misinformation about , especially amongst those who assume authority ( the managements classes and wannabes ) see note below<br />
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I did micro at uni over 50 yrs ago and studied/speculated it in soils and substrates weekly ever since.<br />
IMO The basic vulnerabilities and functions of viruses are known but its the ecological associations ( just as in my work) that are probably not . We were taught very clearly over 50 years ago with the "Eastern" focus on results”( technology eg Japan ) that basic scientific research would suffer . Its certainly true of research in my area of ecological risk assessment and prosecution. Perhaps you can tell me -Who is doing primary research on microbiological ecology ?<br />
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Take the out of hand panic about hand washing -hand sanitizes<br />
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<b>Hand sanitizes </b><br />
60% alcohol, if you use it on your hands all the time will take away much of the oil and colonies that normally live on your skin. You are best to keep your hands clean but don't keep offering new tenants a place at your house by killing off the old ones .<br />
Your hands are what is known in biochemistry as a substrate<br />
If you want to be ahead of the game take the ecologists point of view http://ecomia.blogspot.com<br />
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<br />Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-84738071953544480212019-12-20T23:11:00.001-08:002019-12-20T23:12:20.496-08:00More fake news from ABCTV <br /><br />I have been listening all day to the ABCTV reporting of fires, mainly in NSW TODAY December 21st with Andrew Gaugin at the helm. <br /><br /><br /><br /><br />The ABC should be prosecuted for crying wolf with their constant talk of "catastrophe " , Until the wind gets up , the danger is , at worst ,severe , not catastrophic . <a href="https://ondewolf.blogspot.com/?fbclid=IwAR0Cd0av2s-1DPZH454OI8XR44IXiZf6uSsUk_dnSPPamSlWPynqxg_2qa8">http://ondewolf.blogspot.com.</a>.<br /><br /><br />Take the bushfires driven by northerlies in our area . Lorne went in minutes as did many areas burnt in 1939 fires<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVIKyc_0PLE8PQEiZwaLZ4tN_5GMpTWDI7mPFSl7Z9Ok-ybj8bOi23lSETP5cWuterJMaPGPhFLtZInTihDafbR-dD7wD9Jg_LcqWPPOVjECXI2IWjier-BZFfC2qlF5ezL4G6szOeHAY/s1600/lorne1983.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="233" data-original-width="309" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVIKyc_0PLE8PQEiZwaLZ4tN_5GMpTWDI7mPFSl7Z9Ok-ybj8bOi23lSETP5cWuterJMaPGPhFLtZInTihDafbR-dD7wD9Jg_LcqWPPOVjECXI2IWjier-BZFfC2qlF5ezL4G6szOeHAY/s1600/lorne1983.jpg" /></a></div>
.Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-77782495385751565082019-12-10T16:02:00.001-08:002019-12-20T02:45:35.880-08:00Catastrophes occur because people believe half baked crap <b>Some examples</b> <br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEguToNGiBfrCp2ya6NWLwBG0foT5TLX93_bXbU8rb62QtkloU1wdfFdTbX-hn3PjBxd4_UWApb7C1sL_ic6Cnvz4D_4tv59lNAAg7ZqOXyw5jDi847md6618eF3Onp7B4QCGFuYARquRhQ/s1600/aberfan+sideview+low_res_main.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="407" data-original-width="550" height="236" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEguToNGiBfrCp2ya6NWLwBG0foT5TLX93_bXbU8rb62QtkloU1wdfFdTbX-hn3PjBxd4_UWApb7C1sL_ic6Cnvz4D_4tv59lNAAg7ZqOXyw5jDi847md6618eF3Onp7B4QCGFuYARquRhQ/s320/aberfan+sideview+low_res_main.jpg" width="320" /></a><i><br /><b><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />Background </b>. There are always things we don't know in the precipitation of a man made disaster, but the evidence is that ,what was obvious to a few, or very few ,wasn't effectively communicated to those who could have done something to prevent it. <br /><br />The occasions when no one saw the risk are rare and not the focus here.<br /><b>The terrible truth is that there are often many ways on the road to catastrophe to prevent it, which makes the noise from constant general talk of catastrophe just another example of careless crap .</b><br /><br /><br />The other terrible truth is that not many of us are good listeners - especially when it comes our objectivity about a bigger picture. about the truth others may have ( Peterson's rule 9)<br /><u><br />Take this claim from the climate catastrophians that "the end of the world is nigh " </u>,Why aren't many of us NOT listening to them? <br />I heard someone say on the sacred ABC that 100% of scientists agree with him , but that's a lie. Noone should follow a liar or treat the ABC staff as knowing what we need to know-- most are not anywhere near practicing scientists .A deep trust in what ALL scientists think is not very deep because scientists dont always agree - esp on implications of their knowledge.<br />I hate it that my profession is implicated but not properly involved (say debate), but you should know we scientists get ignored too- whatever we truly know!--<br /><br />We are not listening to the </i><i><u>catastrophians too </u></i><i>because we don't really know where the climate catastrophe persons want us to run to? If such people want to be listened (and not further condemned ) they must succinctly save time and spell out the road to avoidance. No more burning of any kind ?, Sequestration of a truly substantive kind? <br />With volcanoes and landslides,it helps if a local scientist is on the ground , You the reader need to know there are none-NOW - there used to be before , TODAY you NOW get a noise on your phone or on radio . ring 000 what a huge waste of money is spent by state governments trying to act like parents to us ! "I will tell you when your life is at risk " --they say .You would be mad to trust them </i><br />
<i><br />It is the very crime of the catastrophians that they misuse hearing time by not being specific . <br />Is it the crime of our very own broadcaster that they are quite subtle and sly in refusing to let a variety of voices ( close to action ) be heard on the subject /their subject choice .( thankfully One 2 One and other programs like Arndo is changing things)<br /> Real risk reduction always requires specific recognition of cocontentating forces. This is of course is the annoying truth -you have to listen to the long winded way of all scientists and observers in practice-to see when the planets collide --- too bad there are no short cuts,, and crying wolf kills )<br />The crime of the catastrophians is that they waste time talking about risk in ways which do not really address it . <br />The important but differing roles of the student , the participant and the observer ( very important subject noted here with S , O ' and P's below ) is not the main focus here.<br /><br /><b>The very human reasons why proper communication did not occur, as with the fable, is the focus here.</b>, I have had the privilege of being both S, P and O as a geoscientist working in rural areas.<br /><br />These deep historic and ongoing realities in men's failure to really listen to each other MUST be taken as critical if we are to avoid both small and large disasters. Excuse making we can't stop, but by being alert and not alarmed ,we can avoid more disasters. </i><br />
<b><br />The Aberfan tragedy 1966 </b><br />
The risk of a pile of excavated fill going thixotrophic when saturated would have been observed by many people in most moist towns across the country. You don't have to be an expert to notice ( S+O) important things-- to be a good observer (O) , <br />
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Geoscientists know the risk of landslide to be very high and the risk of slurry slide to come with momentum energy that would be developed by its height in the landscape ( the situation at Aberfan) . Sitting high above a city, its hard not to think slurry and landslide at some point. Why the blindness? (B)<br />
While one might have expected the local geotechnical engineers (S) to have at one moment noticed the probable structural failure of fill outside, <b>their daily focus</b> was quite normally on structural failure inside the mine ( where lives were also at risk of being lost ) , <br />
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A key risk for any of us is that we can be so close to something ( a good thing and the best thing ) (P) is we can't see it (S) We need to listen to each other to live well .<br />
<u>Prosecution of sound risk management usually requires at least TWO parties( eg P+O) to talk to each other. </u><br />
We don't know who didn't talk to who, but we do know that as usually happens with HBC-- the obvious is touted as cause when in reality risk will usually run deeper. The creek was a focus for some but the low factor of safety was all that mattered . We know the very high rainfall of the time was blamed by management but those of who study the substance know that all sort of secondary is normally highly distractionary. <br />
Yes for eg rainfall is a cause but,,,,,,,,,<br />
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If you cut no deeper that the risk of bush fire being increased by higher than normal temperatures (TODAY- drafted in November) you will probably be not advancing the cause of prevention protection and real wisdom about risk.<br />
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<u>If you talk when someone else should be talking , you risk being the problem. </u><br />
<b><br />GPS on our phones should be used as a way of alerting people to risks. <br /><br />You heard it first from Emperors Academy <br />Don' t forget to never leave technology in the hands of wannabes , Give it over to professional scientists ( and geoscientists in particular )</b><br />
<br />Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-50848161596998670482019-12-10T15:28:00.002-08:002019-12-20T03:13:39.188-08:00Situation normal <b>When the children insist they know things , <a href="http://cuttingedgecare.blogspot.com/">wise adults</a> stop talking </b>. Pity about the not so wise!<br />
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THIS Aesops fable provides us with a quick link to reality and the poor ways we often deal with risks. Effective risk advice is about timing specifics , so many wannabes are out of order by always talking about it .<br />
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The problem of cry wolf is particularly acute in our age because less and less people have daily jobs ( like farming or working in the environment) which expose them daily to risk .<br />
But that's by no means all<br />
The stupidity didn't start yesterday and the children problem has always been with us .<br />
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What many ageing and inexperienced Western reactionaries don't realize is that they have fallen for excuses for our behavior ( nature does not dismiss nurture) and accepted the bad and immature practices of childhood. Petersons rule no 9<br />
So the problem of panic talk is particularly acute in our age because we as a culture do not respect the authorship and calming influence of the whole truth that comes with study and experience -- Find and talk to <a href="http://hanrahan.blogspot.com/">the really busy people</a> who know the area- if you have time .<br />
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Our homes are bombarded with noise and worry. Best to switch off the TV at least .<br />
I'll leave it to you when you switch off the children<br />
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<i><b>He --who like to thinks he knows more about the outside world </b></i><i> </i><i>"Did you hear the weather report for tomorrow Darling ?" </i><br />
<i><b> S</b></i><i><b>he ..who just lets him think things, but feeds him facts </b></i><i> "</i>Apparently there is a 95% chance that the media will find a new catastrophe to talk about tomorrow."<br />
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<b><i>He "Whats for lunch ? "</i></b><br />
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Some other time we will continue the conversation about who knows more about what! The conversation is not always nice , because we will challenge each other , but very healthy<br />
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1SziWxOYTcDY3YHy9wnpR59aBstzXIYm6Lk2_8lr8TcM/edit?usp=sharing<br />
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Meanwhile , I suggest we all go to confession<br />
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<span id="docs-internal-guid-205093be-7fff-e9ee-6ad8-6f4ca45baeb3"><br />https://docs.google.com/document/d/1zRE_Bn-V8LuLhUQI4KIwoM4X5d0ToZHEh_EK-TbuXzg/edit?usp=sharing</span><br />
<div dir="ltr" style="line-height: 1.38; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">
<span style="background-color: #f2f3f5; color: #1c1e21; font-family: "arial"; font-size: 10pt; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre;">Adapted from the confession used in Christian meetings worldwide for centuries .</span></div>
Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-12867529737724790732019-11-16T18:49:00.000-08:002019-11-16T18:58:45.623-08:00Conflating the Conflagration <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpFqvyWy5RgM0SRHHL804ek9PCrpgskA4EyrqTGK6YA6bLKJC72xutJje4wxakwgr8B7Rs0FP3MWUGbOSryVW6oMpR9milwRDZ9SiKWmxC2Or6Jo2sK3OACgaaT5v47Kc73urNHTVAW24/s1600/beruined.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="440" data-original-width="280" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpFqvyWy5RgM0SRHHL804ek9PCrpgskA4EyrqTGK6YA6bLKJC72xutJje4wxakwgr8B7Rs0FP3MWUGbOSryVW6oMpR9milwRDZ9SiKWmxC2Or6Jo2sK3OACgaaT5v47Kc73urNHTVAW24/s320/beruined.jpg" width="203" /></a>Last weeks media madness will go down in history as the last ditch effort of the worry warriors to try and make a case for a future holocaust - and incendiary end to life on earth as we know it . <br />
<b>"The bush fires are worse than ever ever before " .</b><br />
Its not been enough to state science science science, the arrogant unqualified now <a href="http://misplacedconcreteness.blogspot.com/">break the fundamental rules in science</a> . The ABC and many others have to promote a future hell on earth by joining the dots in a way which offends anyone with half a brain ,<b> "The bush fires are worse than ever ever before " .</b><br />
The Australian newspaper was the only one to state the crap production in the media ; the real news about all the fake news <br />
<br />
The poor old Age has forgotten what it is to report anything that isn't PC .Like so many desperate to avoid denying the failure of the progressive faith , they waste hours filtering facts to suit their theories.<br />
.Does The Age remember we stopped reading it years ago ? . They remember how the Argus went under . An unrepentant subtle sly and bloody approach to the house on the hill won't save them from final judgement .<br />
<br />
In a paradox of profound proportions these blinkered minds are out doing old <a href="http://hanrahan.blogspot.com/">Hanrahan</a>. At least he was in the ball park ..<br />
<br />
Meanwhile the real dystopian elements undermining the West go undiscussed -- except maybe at church before the normal speculation outside afterwards. Speculation is in the right order in such places .Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-21536550780849645902019-11-04T22:20:00.002-08:002019-11-04T22:20:57.814-08:00The fanaticism of wolf risk worrying is all around us Examples <br />
1. Feminists on Q andA last night .Nov 4th2019 The modern woman who wants sexual freedom finds the man who takes the same licence to be bad company . What does she expect ? <a href="http://knowlove.blogspot.com/">Reject traditional marriage </a>with its paradoxical but workable tensions in honor, leadership and servanthood and this is what you get. Its abused by men especially tis true, but not by all men . The wolf is not visiting every house in teh street ; God knows why soem are leaving teh door open for him.<br />
2. The risks of environmental damage are real , but if you don' t study the world , you don't realize that not all man does is bad ( new doctrines of misanthropy ) <br />
If you study the stuff of life you get to realize that resilience is real and provides real reasons when not to worry ; when to cut cull and carry and repair . https://docs.google.com/document/d/1AJI5nO4FipVQajqtnJm91NbQLh-axceVUpcu3qgHk-4/edit?usp=sharingLittle Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-492932144322689412019-10-24T00:08:00.001-07:002019-12-20T02:52:38.790-08:00When do you ever learn something watching the ABC on environmental affairs ?The ABC are not fear mongers you might say !<br />
On the surface i think you would be right, because they go to a lot of trouble to not look like they are. <br />
Which means, if it is true, thinking audiences need to dig deeper.<br />
One of the reasons I don't learn much from watching the ABC is because they are so cynical.<br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq8Tx7jIXxIvWKjQZxkyEq7Ua94in_4Rc3DE3baRPquiTQL1z1GuArpWtcE0CyKlM5PaWw2iSChjdsz-oPBTYvVDj14oTSCqhn18oRDeX4ROaoZdOjXlH4r31Khxbn3QVI6rylWncQucc/s1600/emperor+naked.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="180" data-original-width="281" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq8Tx7jIXxIvWKjQZxkyEq7Ua94in_4Rc3DE3baRPquiTQL1z1GuArpWtcE0CyKlM5PaWw2iSChjdsz-oPBTYvVDj14oTSCqhn18oRDeX4ROaoZdOjXlH4r31Khxbn3QVI6rylWncQucc/s1600/emperor+naked.jpg" /></a>Another reason I don't learn from them is that they don't employ practical scientist who can answer tough questions. Kruzelnitsky and Sampson love making points of theory , for example hoping the audience will be impressed , Most of us expect probability statements on real risks .<br />
Clearly many in the ABC audience do not see the problem I have --- until you put the question above and the failures below ( just examples ) or mention Political correctness<br />
<br />
<div>
<a href="https://hanrahan.blogspot.com/2019/10/hope-in-all-dust.html">https://hanrahan.blogspot.com/2019/10/hope-in-all-dust.html</a></div>
<br />
ABC journos do have reason to worry ( on the reporting of environmental risk in particular )<br />
<ol>
<li>The Science Show has been run for decades by a non scientist ,</li>
<li>Some of the lack of controversy ( should be normal) is due to tokenistic, quickgrabs and ignorance the subject matter ( the other side of the story- esp political )</li>
<li> Major political blunders on environment have occurred on their watch WITHOUT any apology about the fact that they ignored warnings from competent experts, Who were they listening to ??? Politicians ????<br />--1 State attempts to create water<br />--2 An 18 billion MD plan that isn't working-<br />--3 Rural people switching off ABC and watching SKY<br />--4 Many bushfire imperatives from RC's have not been adopted<br /><br />3 They continue to expect us to believe polys and media people know things on the above eco and env subjects .. They read "Scoop" but never got it<br /><br /><br />THIS WEEK</li>
<li>PIDDLING into the Barham . The redgums need a real big flood to set new trees growing in sustainable sites ( not salty ones !!) http://cuttingedgecare.blogspot.com</li>
<li>SEAL explosion ( landline ) I mean even today noone has twigged that the devastation that the seals have done in Lake Alexandrena is related to stupidly simple ideologues like Burke and Wong putting precious water into a semi saline pond in the gospel name of "environmental flow." The MD plan is NO plan is it doesn't cover "predictable events "</li>
</ol>
<br />Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-5015037659750651712019-09-19T00:10:00.002-07:002019-09-19T19:26:19.876-07:00Worry warriors out of their tree over the reef <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">The worry warriors are fearful of reef damage from polluted runoff</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> from land </span></b><br /><b style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;">Lesson 1</b><span style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;"> Don't listen to people quoting scientists ( people will quote those who agree with them) ; listen to scientists themselves .If you are not a scientist you will often need to LISTEN long to a range of them because on these complex questions , they don't always agree and it takes years to gain competency over the ecosystems ( cf plant or animal ) involved . </span><br /><span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="background-color: black;">What many citizens do no</span><span style="background-color: black;">t know too is that <b>much so called independent science research on environment has been captured by the politically correct .</b> eg the cuddly stuff . You will read here about soil -- where are the soil scientists in YOUR state Utopia group ? </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;"> Should you trust someone </span><span style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;">whose just outta school ?</span><span style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;">(</span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">Should you trust those who claim to know all the important things cause their facts are at their fingertips on a computer playing with </span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">atmospheric</span></span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> </span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">physics modelling </span></span><span style="font-size: 13px;">and because they are paid specifically to come up with more worries re climate ? </span><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: white; font-size: 13px;"><b>Lesson 2</b> The solution to pollution is often dilution . Make up you own minds and study the flocculation after events . </span></span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;">Lesson 3</span> </b> Watch Utopia . <span style="font-size: x-small;">People trying to do/help the experts do his/her job is driving the experts and honest brokers mad </span></span><br />
<span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black; color: #1c1e21; font-size: 13px;"> </span><br /><span style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;">Whose a good scientists to trust? One who admits he often knows more and more about less and less </span></span><span style="background-color: black;"><br /><span style="font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /><b style="font-size: 13px;">THE REEF</b><span style="font-size: 13px;"> ( Great barrier reef Australia in particular) Note nearshore ( discussed here ) can be different from wavecut platforms etc </span><br /><span style="font-size: 13px;">The reef like any ecosystem is a complex but resilient beast , Like all ecosystems it requires a number of scientists to </span></span><b style="font-size: 13px;">understand the actual boundaries of each animal or plants, </b><span style="font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;"><b>resilience</b></span></span><b style="font-size: 13px;"> and how it works </b><span style="font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;"><b>both</b></span></span><b style="font-size: 13px;"> </b><span style="font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;"><b>individually</b></span></span><b style="font-size: 13px;"> and together; the stresses in lifecycle </b><span style="font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;"><b>year,</b></span></span><b style="font-size: 13px;"> season and circumstance are full of variables. </b></span><b style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;"><br /><br />WHAT WE DO KNOW about near shore effects from streams . </b></span><br />
<ol><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black;">
</span>
<li><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">Water bodies are usually precariously infertile, That is , they struggle to maintain </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">nutrient</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> recycling </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">near</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> the </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">surface</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> because gravity operates on both solids and solutes (the critical unseen particles ) </span></span></li>
<li><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">Life in water is dependant then on phases A- phases of growth and decline ; B phases of depletion and </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">infertility</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> ; C phases of </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">dependency</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> ( algae feeding fish bacteria protozoa zooplankton etc ) D phases of regeneration ( seeding spores and high substrate availability - from another phase ; phases or death or threat ( wind and calm ) </span></span></li>
<li><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;"> Fresh water </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">entering</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> salt water can release large amounts of much needed food but the </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">various</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> phases of growth and decline </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">vary</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> greatly with space and time , A turbid flood does not reduce light penetration in seawater for long as high salts </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">flocculate</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> the clays .( generally) </span></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #1c1e21; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-size: 13px;">In general and in the big picture, the reefs can benefit greatly from highly nutrient rich from land runoff. They after all often running near empty on some equations of productivity and growth . </span></span></li>
<li><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 13px;">While soil could impact negatively on the growth of algae and various other species, the soil particles do not remain </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">suspended</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> for long and their attendant cation site attachments are welcome with little </span><span style="font-size: 13px;">likelihood</span><span style="font-size: 13px;"> of deep deposits on reefs </span></span></li>
<li style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="background-color: black; font-size: 13px;">Do not panic . even the most turbid water coming from land is soon flocculated in sea water .<br /><br />Take the fake news off the news please we don't watch the ABC much now anyways as they employ few practical scientists and follow the weight of the political moment in the direction of ignorant fear mongers and<span style="color: white;"> cynics. </span></span></li>
</span></ol>
<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">
<span style="font-size: 13px;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-size: 13px;">read Douglas Murray in "The madness of crowds" )</span></span>journeymanjhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11679612023619721683noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-68543943756133002562019-09-05T15:37:00.000-07:002019-09-05T15:59:30.443-07:00Utopia Good art is often confrontational. It puts the current deep dilemmas in a frame; but it doesn't often do it nicely. When the powerful get fanatical they feel it face on, full on .<br />
<br />
So why is there so little confrontational art around? ( working dog's UTOPIA , and MAD as HELL come later ) <br />
--The ABC would rather produce comedy and there is a case with their new domestic dramas that the --ABC have completely confused the road to fun serious domestic . Either way ABC Art is not cutting it<br />
--The ABC do too much navel gazing in their own contexts ( mechanistic rather than artistic paradoxically) as GKC put it , the real anarchists are offsite .<br />
<br />
Art does cut more truthfully and directly than this slow burn cynical nonsense of rationally driven action; where "my idea is always the best "<br />
Art does this in a way that <a href="http://meredescription.blogspot.com/">mere description</a> ( the myth that sub scientists often adopt as gospel) cannot. <br />
<br />
Powerful people (eg media and politics ) can't usually hack this sort of art in their direction because their world view is the present and the current action agenda is their own .<br />
Art will tell our mothers fathers and leaders that their unrepentant blindness is driving us who know things all to despair and suicide ,<br />
Art, at its best , puts the frightening human condition ( denial arrogance hypocrisy)of all .. to the test Those who hide behind talk of being most rational are currently most exposed .<br />
<br />
DYSTOPIA<br />
Good art for example on climate concerns would remind us that some thing is still missing from the self evidently super rational picture presented by the now fanatical powerful worry warriors.<br />
<br />
Despite over ten years of fact,after fact , no amount of facts stacks up because the facts are self select . Only this week we have the ABC reporting the pre Archimedes nonsense that icebergs, when the melt , will raise the sea level . In water they are already displacing the water <br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Good art on climate change will probably bring the house down with just one well put laugh on the above programs . Poor art and politics is humorless .Its like living in 1984. no this , no that and only chocolate when you are good .<br />
<br />
UTOPIA<br />
While many of us who lost our opportunity to effect sound public service because of the quick fix politics of the media and politicians love Utopia , WE find it hard to watch the isolated sense makers like Rob and Celia get screwed - week after week. ( as happened to us ) whats needed to break the spell may not be nice, but we know its coming .<br />Our children can't afford to have the country being run by technological fix agents ( Ellul) , posies corrupted by collective incompetence that results from not weeding out unsound logic . the logic that increases the number of complicit consultants and public servants and alienates those who know better , I have written to Ida to ask her to get Arhn do ( or others ) to paint the picture of some of our lost and now largely silent prophets.<br />
<b>Real dilemmas in art are good, but sometimes not as effective in making us see solutions an seeing people amid their mistakes </b>.<br />
<br />
I love it how they get Celia to ask -- " talk to the future" (or are they just afraid to ?) some of us are always talking to a better future by simply confronting the reality of <a href="http://unweeddgarden.blogspot.com/">the unweeded garden. </a>Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-68164656971084495182019-08-01T18:06:00.000-07:002019-08-01T18:06:21.451-07:00They live the dream at our expense One day Daniel Andrews will have to face the fact that he is a stooge for the incompetent, the fearful and the impractical. The only reason those types survive in power is because he is so nice and <a href="http://thiselection.blogspot.com/">the city have a stranglehold on logic</a> - Labor has become the great Australian stooge party .<br />History will not be kind to their complete incompetence and radical runaway reactive approach to everything . <br />Lisa Neville is pushed to make water because Andrews team and tradition led down to a meltdown of logic on water --- and have big bills to pay ., The realization that OUR subsidies for solar are benefiting the rich has only just hit them For all their comfortable time in power not one word in favor of incineration . Oh no we would rather just be frightened and stay frightened and worried with greenlabor. <br /><b>Don't dare give our children a job in engineering solutions to environment risk - that would be forbotten . </b><br />We can t use word s like incineration or base load power and reasonable cost - better to export our rubbish and make everyone pay for our self righteous crap<br /> . Labor when they are not just stunned, are afraid to move . so afraid to be seen stuck they move somewhere - somewhere worse . They end up costing the earth and creating the biggest Nimbyism known in modern time. We export the risk .<br /><span style="background-color: #f2f3f5; color: #1c1e21; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"><br /><br />1st August LABOR's three Federal stooges ( there are more ) </span><span dir="ltr" style="background-color: #f2f3f5; color: #1c1e21; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"><span class="_3l3x" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"> are desperate and desperately shallow in their thinking and compromised weak and unconvincing in their coalitions with the real world . Never get a job outside . </span><br /><span style="font-family: inherit;">Fancy failing to see their resistance to free speech YESTERDAY is a sign of their own inability to deal with a robust discussion. </span></span></span>Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-49448095774332268352019-07-22T19:17:00.000-07:002019-07-22T19:49:22.481-07:00What can you say about Q and A? Forget making a big deal about Folau's focus on Hell . We have the ABC leading<a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1AJI5nO4FipVQajqtnJm91NbQLh-axceVUpcu3qgHk-4/edit?usp=sharing"> its progressives </a>to that place where the dark trinity rests : blame ,confounding,confusion. . Last night's cacaphony of bleeting . blaming , talking over one another noise was like Hell itself.<br />
<br />
Takes this overeaching effort by the <a href="http://abcchurch.blogspot.com/">high priests at the ABC</a> ( "of course we can tackle anything !-" like our own mental illnesses) to force flush out the fantasy and hypocrisy in that ambition in that context , <br />
Its not about answering questions , but overloading us with them; and the pushing<a href="http://misplacedconcreteness.blogspot.com/"> out dead old answers that don't work</a>. There is also, according to the modern progressives, no way we can learn by reflecting back -the clear option at the evening armchair bar is just <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1AJI5nO4FipVQajqtnJm91NbQLh-axceVUpcu3qgHk-4/edit?usp=sharing">fast moving progress </a>( the name on their tram) .<br />
<br />
This is what happens ( bit of real science in real consequence) when only the facts are valued and the means to put them together is not. Our attendance at the altar of the ultimate rationalists, is, as David Christian says, a predictable commitment to driving down the culdesac of epistemilogical despair.<br />
Without agreed values, and an agreed faith , (<a href="http://thinkhebrew.blogspot.com/">that works</a>) this form of unblessed sharing is just noise ( and avoidance and denial of the dual nature we all share ) .<br />Look at the scathing treatment of politicians and those who study to show themselves approved ( "We don't need the skilled. "<br />
Why would God bless this worship of questions procalamtions and speculations when there is no real commitment in this" god I am clever at naming the concern"fest. <br />
Thankfully , God was mentioned as the only Lifeline from such a maelstrom of mere facts and mental anguish.<br />
God , if only a few presenters at the ABC would get outside, grow up and stop sharing their stupid cynicism( <a href="http://dogood.blogspot.com/">and quick fiz problem solving nonsense</a> ) with the young people of this country ., .Tragic eventually and meanwhile just noise and frustration while they pay themseleves to do what.......?? they think might possibly have some slim chance of working ..... Stop solving problems <br />
Not this evening at the front bar stuff - t<a href="http://productionecologists.blogspot.com/">hat was our job once </a><br /><br />Please Ita Buttrose stop them trying to solve problems they don't understand . Even Heather Ewatt (( Backrods - good as it is ) _and Landline, <b> for all their openess and light an airy flying and out</b> are still not RESPECTING AUTHORS and institutions - the real basis for resilience which strengthen and sustains long term . Our polys ( apart from the current senate gurus) represenst areas and issues better then you have been --- and that saying something because they have marginal nit wits to woory about as well .How about you have a go a them sometime #<br />
workingdog <br />The ABC <a href="http://cuttingedgecare.blogspot.com/">has been</a> playing god with the rest - part of and still is ( last weeks overly cynical and distracted hunt on 4 corners ) the faisco of arrogant reporters and wannebes bush poets own false leads and fantasises on how things work out here . It ain't right to construct the story from<a href="http://hanrahan.blogspot.com/"> afar</a> .Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-17514399862855544502019-06-10T06:48:00.001-07:002019-06-17T03:51:54.569-07:00The outrage of having a public broadcaster whose righteousness can't be questioned .<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhduNd2jrbCGzGdNBmobvzhJniF3L4so7iyDLbw6Ae98Un1gxhHNk9bU7PJh_EWQ1u7mKvrlNhpvxAcUGQqXIJvg2TlhdIsXGhNmRLlSVBmoiF7lgMXapSj6CrIz0snWE4pQTTN1jfj73o/s1600/don-quixote-charging-windmills-2-1080x665.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="665" data-original-width="1080" height="246" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhduNd2jrbCGzGdNBmobvzhJniF3L4so7iyDLbw6Ae98Un1gxhHNk9bU7PJh_EWQ1u7mKvrlNhpvxAcUGQqXIJvg2TlhdIsXGhNmRLlSVBmoiF7lgMXapSj6CrIz0snWE4pQTTN1jfj73o/s400/don-quixote-charging-windmills-2-1080x665.png" width="400" /></a></div>
Philip Adams still has a huge audience, but he still says nothing in his weekly review in The Australian. <br />
Yes he might say something nice about someone or some cause he has mauled ( like the church ) but really he's a menace ; promoting his own causes<a href="http://meredescription.blogspot.com/">.Pretending to do 'science'</a><br />
What a waste of his time and those who read him . All those years and he could have a promoted a cause that worked . This week he talks about all the work he put into a cause that noone else thought was credible . <br />
<b>Paradoxically the 2 of them were chasing windmills </b>.<br />
<br />
<br />
How many others of this sort does our public broadcaster cultivate ?<br />
There is no limit to the lack of maturity amongst those who choose to know about everything but don't discipline themselves to know anything about anything . <br />
These members of the Skimpole club console themselves with the fact that their knowledge is encyclopedic , Pity the depth of their understanding is microscopic ( unlike those who <a href="http://ecomia.blogspot.com/">practice science</a>, and don't worship it as the technocolor yawn merchants do. <br />
On the surface the splash in the daily bird bath looks very interesting,, So Australia staggers on , playing with technology, and talking about innovation without really investing in the hard work of it . These people take up, like Skimpole jobs where they are fed and watered for their fact filled excitement about what is new .The real engine of growth is too boring and long winded for them.<br />
<br />
The ABC don't realize that while chasing their own causes they can and do miss the real causes of note .Some old dinosaur sectors and specific scientists ( practical ones ) hardly get a mention . Even the sound ABC (Hutcheons and Ahns :"one 2 ones and fame "ones largely miss the quiet ones , not right at all . Jut chasing the wind<br />
The ABC club don't believe in God ( even though He pays them ) so they become gods in their own right - and right in their own eyes ; rightousness<br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1mE5eILlCyarUsv_lsgIH2TGtqOtBc8hqt5ellDwLFTGsuafCmfkbCcgbBGIbcMW6YgFG-YaJQb84_LhGNXUmNgI6cG9Nt0tjVHxKqgLaDRgwAPEkU3GYehaE8EtwF6sE2eCscr_brq8/s1600/orwellonfreespeech.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="307" data-original-width="549" height="178" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1mE5eILlCyarUsv_lsgIH2TGtqOtBc8hqt5ellDwLFTGsuafCmfkbCcgbBGIbcMW6YgFG-YaJQb84_LhGNXUmNgI6cG9Nt0tjVHxKqgLaDRgwAPEkU3GYehaE8EtwF6sE2eCscr_brq8/s320/orwellonfreespeech.jpg" width="320" /></a> Unaware as Orwell warned us that the real products of innovation will arrive at a destination not covered by the media .<br />
<br />
The progressives are straining to be too far in front to see <a href="http://misplacedconcreteness.blogspot.com/">where the momentum really is</a> . <br />
Ever learning but never coming to a working knowledge of what works --a nd not reporting it . As Skimpole says of himself .. "I am only a child". <br />
If a child, then give the job to someone who respects the process of mature learning .<br />
Put some experienced scientists into our ABCLittle Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-45750441341322098062019-06-05T04:19:00.000-07:002019-06-05T04:19:29.719-07:00Attention seeking children need a scold <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEij4uW-MqkVlxgKBGrmKeWZofwLfHj1CRKYFTn4tiqD9sSaznx_GPyU1ZYET8BiljLBEXqbX94tWzQupDtlAbhpI2Bt6B5eYdZIv5WB6EJe8uoAgWljlIMM4XcNye3rsu2klpWXbwAzZv8/s1600/2yoreasoning.jpe" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="172" data-original-width="293" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEij4uW-MqkVlxgKBGrmKeWZofwLfHj1CRKYFTn4tiqD9sSaznx_GPyU1ZYET8BiljLBEXqbX94tWzQupDtlAbhpI2Bt6B5eYdZIv5WB6EJe8uoAgWljlIMM4XcNye3rsu2klpWXbwAzZv8/s1600/2yoreasoning.jpe" /></a>The one who cries wolf does not really know risk . He only knows the name of the fear .<br />Fine if this behavior comes from children - its natural enough.<br />We all know the scary nature of that noise when it comes from a child . That's fine - we will teach em out of it <br />But some kids never grow up.<br /><br /><br />What if <a href="http://childrenincharge.blogspot.com/">half the country is run by noisy children </a>?, Those like Skimpole who know so much that they command attention , but know so little they can't help manage the simplest of risks . <br />This group know so much they can hide, as they have learned to do , behind their encyclopedic volume of facts. Skipholes are nothng if not well educated and well spoken everywhere advocating fact checking but nowhere to be seen on the ground with the implementation of their ideas . Like Skimpole they live<a href="http://abcchurch.blogspot.com/"> inside the house .</a> Worse they are parasites on the <a href="http://ecomia.blogspot.com/">productive in the house</a><br /><br />Watch out for them and the tendency to be a cynical smart arse yourself<br />
<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />Denial is far distraction and projection are more common in our lives than we are prepared to accept . Our experience with young children should have warned us , The terrible thin is there are children out there who have never gron For example We can all hide our cynicism with a veneer of care, as so many characters in Dickens do . Swimming in shit that is often well dressed (T. Dalrymple )<br />Its easy to project denial on others when , for example 95% of the people say " you don't care about the amount of hot air we generate "of the 5% of Climate Change deniers. Not so easy when a child in our house reminds us we too are guilty.<br />Cheeky brat know alls at age 14 are one thing ( quite normal ) , but NAbrats at 40 are worse than useless - unrepentant they just live to erode and corrode<br />Presumably Skim pole was told many times to stop living on his cultivated cynicism. excusing his false fears and incompetency and lazy life and thinking when it suited him . <br />The Skimpole club has grown -many do you know who hide their lazy and noisy parasitism in a cloud of cynical conversational-ism; such people have no trouble finding "friends ".<br />The fact is that not only was he a noise making nuisance his parasitism and compliance in nuisance made him even more unproductive than he would have been if he didn't cultivate friends or at least other cynics who could hide with him . Easy to buy some more food for talk from the frenzy that reigns when its all talk - who knows or cares whether it really goes anywhere - so often<a href="http://abcchurch.blogspot.com/"> point scoring for pedants </a><br />We all ought to examine ourselves to see whether such a wasted life ( and silly knowing smile of safe cynicism) is something we will be remembered for .<br /><br />Those children who never grow up need a scold from more than one Esther if they not to break the bank in their own home . let alone<a href="http://ecomia.blogspot.com/"> the one we share</a> .Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-58922880438105359132019-06-04T04:55:00.001-07:002019-06-04T05:03:05.932-07:00Democracies at Risk - Australia <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkhtrSnmFPX1difqcgjKWJ0gt7M7tAsQla89haM2YO6RD5TBfT1foyGjErYTpEjVDZvqQgfFytdcUx3kpM2yvd5wkniyqYEhkff17K-SDCWxVVpZ3glcl1BgdE-FPtrtCuDGg4wHo70qPc/s1600/Vic2010.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="582" data-original-width="950" height="196" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkhtrSnmFPX1difqcgjKWJ0gt7M7tAsQla89haM2YO6RD5TBfT1foyGjErYTpEjVDZvqQgfFytdcUx3kpM2yvd5wkniyqYEhkff17K-SDCWxVVpZ3glcl1BgdE-FPtrtCuDGg4wHo70qPc/s320/Vic2010.jpg" width="320" /></a><br />
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One state of 6 Australian States <br />- Victoria <br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />Of 37 federal seats only 5 are rural and are very large with 6 regional areas making a total of 11 people representing the majority of Victoria ; 26 people representing the cities in the centre of this picture.<br />
<b><br />Background - the victory of the pedants over the principled</b>. Labors insistence on the myopic dominance of one vote one value has meant for those living in the wide brown land that they are under the tyranny of being told what the regions problems/challenges/opportunities are by those in the cities who simply do not know them .<br />
<br />
<i>Yes we have had a miracle here in Australasia in May 2019( and there are bit challenges elsewhere ) but here is ours alive well and still to threat our home and ability to reason well together down under </i><br />
<br />
<b>A growing threat </b><br />
I was drawn into politics simply because even though I had one of the best jobs in the world working with some of the most productive people in the world, the city started telling us how to look after the earth. That would have been fine if the city knew something we didn't ( and<br />
I didn't have a post grad from our great education system ) but nothing in 3 decades of dealing with the most arrogant and ignorant alliance of ideologues I know means means Greenlabor should back off and show some respect .<br />
Publishing for decades at http://thiselection.blogspot.com we have fully expected the show to be over years ago .<br />
<br />
The battle is certainly lost as the Vic state level for decades with Labor now settled into a comfortable sense that they know something about something that requires our best skills and competencies. The comfortable team of reactionaries does not realize that if not done well attempted governance in ignorance risks the lives and minds and careers of those who are competent to deal with complex environmental and production challenges.<br />
<br />
Will finish this tomorrow.<br />
see the injustice here in maps 70 % of the seats are in cities except in Qld where the regions still have greater than 60% of the population in them. Of the 30 to 40 seats in each of the eastern states only a few are rural and regional .<br />
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Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-453978453641160422019-05-10T19:30:00.001-07:002019-05-10T19:30:38.003-07:00A guide for the young voter - <br />
Passionate young people - there is hope for the future<br />
What my generation don't get is that thinking young people don't trust the parties - esp the majors .<br />
Why do those mature enough to know better get sucked in when the Majors pitch their story to get power , Innocent Christians, in particular seem vulnerable to the naming of best intention when they should know that behind the surface can lurk great evil .<br />
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To help them--- I have drafted the guide for the young voter https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Hn2f1GFyXzzxVqoYNWw2Gshjkq-Ndhn4dNp0HrM4QhQ/edit?usp=sharing<br /><br />Good thinking mate !Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-83392380487533654832019-05-04T06:52:00.001-07:002019-05-04T06:52:29.111-07:00The maddest things ever are done because of guilt Noone ever talks about the guilt factor so are we just giving up things for the sake of giving up things ? "<br />Greenlabor in 2019 are talking about US giving up everything to stop our carbon burning from killing us<br /><br />Guilt is clearly in the air over fossil fuel use , but noone is talking confession -- so we must expect sacrifice - the other bloke? . Noone has to die do they ?<br /><br />JB Peterson reminds us of the great murder danger by talking to the formative frame in western culture of the first murderer , Cain . offerings to the Gods -<br />According to that view , its not how much you give up that gets us to heaven but whether the sacrifice works , so far we have got lots of insulation and old tech solar cells but little more but greenlabor is hinting that we will kill the problem -- whatever the cost<br /><br /><br />With guilt affecting us all , How then can anyone believe anybody or any party when Climate change is mentioned . People are going to do and say the most ridiculous things because all western adults from all parties feel guilty .<br />Enough to kill ? Certainly enough to talk crap and piles of it . <br />Some parties even talk<br />of murdering our way of,life without admitting to or the real cost of trying to live without coal and pretending coal is really different from other fuels we all need and use ---<br /><br />We do best to admit to guilt before we go stopping our way of living .<br /><br />journeymanjhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11679612023619721683noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-15725809848303637602019-01-02T15:53:00.005-08:002019-01-02T16:13:27.236-08:00 Why is the Trump phenomenon so common? <div class="" data-block="true" data-editor="albfn" data-offset-key="b5hvc-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1d2129; white-space: pre-wrap;">
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<span data-offset-key="b5hvc-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Q Why is there so much polarization and indifference to arguments from "the otherside" ?
A Because we have believed too much in resolving arguments with another argument ? You heard it first on Emperors Academy </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="facdp-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">It seems to me that --- its not the polarisation or strength of arguments that is troubling the West, but the failure of so many arguments to give strength to any argument .</span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="cfpc-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">As Greg Sheridan , following Dostoyevsky . says in his “ God is good for you “ if you don’t put God in the picture , you haven’t got a picture : nothing to frame, nothing to gain </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="bmamc-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">People are pushing too hard with rationale when rationale is never enough. We all need to stop being so Greek and think more like the Hebrews http://thinkhebrew.blogspot.com </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="dl3hg-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Because this new belief in the power of mere logic doesn't , work people are short circuiting good arguments and inserting power words to try and win moral points : annoying, non objective and often a waste of time.</span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="a49aa-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Take an example of polarization that cuts deep - eating meat in the West . </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="1dgat-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Many westerners now attach "the survival of the planet " or the " cruelty to animals ;" to the paradox of animals needing to eat each other. We can build up a picture using such arguments but is it a consistent picture? No it is not - Many are NOW creating sins associated with meat eating of any kind. </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="b1scc-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Clearly from my point of view as an ecologist, the former argument is just not true to nature , Animals eat each other , the reason why humans shouldn't must come from a god camp of some kind ? Cruelty is not a God issue – it’s a man issue. Confusion about connections is now the new norm. . we could <a href="http://ecomia.blogspot.com/">go on </a></span></div>
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I therefore conclude as a scientist that many people only talk science (because its supposed to have moral value ) but do not practice it - esp because they can't or won't follow a long argument or recognise the limitations and complexities of causation research . </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="q90v-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">When faced with their reluctance to go on the long journey of logic they chose the shortest route ....... and make you do all the work. </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="73ve8-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">The lack of respect for sound science in practice is profound and was predicted by our best scientific minds nearly 100 years ago . </span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="6hbvm-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">The chickens are coming home to roost in unhappy gatherings of god like roosters ; who only claim their own ownership of higher perches.</span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="cbpjh-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">http://misplacedconcreteness.blogspot.com</span></div>
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Little Johnhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18149735103253911440noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3555037325546943314.post-40994905178357765032018-12-12T23:16:00.003-08:002018-12-13T03:04:25.229-08:00Unsustainable attention and agenda seeking authors in Media It used to only be the gutter press who would add an adjective to an accurate description word- esp in relation to a person.<br />
<br />
Now we can't even watch the <a href="http://abcchurch.blogspot.com/">ABC news</a> without having our emotions played with by the writers careless reporting . Some on the ABC news crew are writing their own death warrants with thinking people by being so careless and presumtously self righteous .<br />
I won' t bore you with key offenders,or more probin, but several of them are prominent political reporters with the ABC.<br />
They are not reporters, they are careless commentators. They are not straight up to your face but snide. Maybe news producers need a shove?<br />
<br />
When Cardinal Pell's term in office ended today variuos news services described it as a sacking and a removal.<br />
The highly reactive and now moral authority press will be judged for showing no respect for ANYONE who takes on a task of leadership. <br />
--News to most of them would be that authority goes with the weighty responsibility ( not all glory!).Misleading young people and making them far too cynical - in name of "questioning "<br />
---News to them that they now think they are self appointed moral guardians - and news to them that their tool kit is limited to lawfare,and shaming ( thanks Linda )<br />
<br />
What is wrong with our eduction system that the young and the old BB don't understand the principles of libel?<br />
Its quite evident that some reporters are carrying a message of hate<br />
Reporters should be sacked for inappropriate hate speech.<br />
Sadly the press don't know what is going on .That they maybe part of the malaie ; the confusion over whats moral ?<br />
Sadly the press have become the slower class who never quite get why THE CROWN is a great story and a <a href="http://hanrahan.blogspot.com/">great true story.</a>journeymanjhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11679612023619721683noreply@blogger.com0